發(fā)布時間：2018-03-11 00:32

  本文選題：現(xiàn)金供應(yīng)鏈　切入點：現(xiàn)金流預(yù)測　出處：《上海交通大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：隨著時代的發(fā)展和社會生產(chǎn)力及相關(guān)技術(shù)的迅速提升,世界經(jīng)濟一體化的現(xiàn)象越發(fā)明顯,而大型跨國公司則是這一現(xiàn)象的具體體現(xiàn)。這些跨國公司都以所在國為基礎(chǔ),在世界上很多國家設(shè)立子公司,實現(xiàn)跨國經(jīng)營。并在其主要的國家市場中,實現(xiàn)了生產(chǎn)、銷售、采購、研發(fā)、運營的本地化。由于這些跨國公司往往體量龐大,從事多元化的生產(chǎn)和經(jīng)營,擁有大量的現(xiàn)金作為企業(yè)運營的基礎(chǔ)。由于資金本身的重要性以及大型跨國公司的規(guī)模效應(yīng),對其現(xiàn)金流進行有效的管理在目前的經(jīng)濟大環(huán)境中顯得越發(fā)的重要。近十年來供應(yīng)鏈管理理論中的供應(yīng)鏈金融無論是在理論和實踐上都有了長足的發(fā)展,很多銀行和企業(yè)也在這個領(lǐng)域做出了許多開拓性的工作,這也是目前金融領(lǐng)域創(chuàng)新的焦點之一。同時在過去的幾年間我國的很多企業(yè)和銀行也開始在這個領(lǐng)域進行有益的嘗試,并取得了很多成果。這里要說明的是供應(yīng)鏈金融的核心就是各個企業(yè)自身的資金需求和管理,以保證企業(yè)的日常經(jīng)營和未來發(fā)展。也只有各個企業(yè)對于自身資金需求有著充分的認識和了解,才能更好的推動供應(yīng)鏈金融的發(fā)展及其相關(guān)的供應(yīng)鏈以及金融領(lǐng)域的創(chuàng)新。本文基于目前大型跨國公司對于資金管理尤其是現(xiàn)金流管理與預(yù)測的現(xiàn)狀分析需要,結(jié)合X公司的現(xiàn)金流預(yù)測管理現(xiàn)狀的具體例子,指出了當(dāng)前大多數(shù)公司里面的都有對于自有資金的管理問題。本文提出了現(xiàn)金供應(yīng)鏈的概念,其流向正好是當(dāng)前供應(yīng)鏈的反向。通過對問題產(chǎn)生原因的分析,提出以供應(yīng)鏈管理理論中時間序列模型、安全庫存等理論和大數(shù)據(jù)分析為基礎(chǔ)的現(xiàn)金流預(yù)測與管理解決方案,并為企業(yè)創(chuàng)造更多價值。
[Abstract]:With the development of the times and the rapid improvement of social productivity and related technologies, the phenomenon of the integration of the world economy has become more and more obvious, and the large transnational corporations are the concrete embodiment of this phenomenon. These transnational corporations are based on the host countries, They set up subsidiaries in many countries in the world to achieve transnational operations. And in their major national markets, they have achieved localization of production, sales, procurement, research and development, and operations. Engaged in diversified production and operation, with a large amount of cash as the basis for business operations. Due to the importance of the capital itself and the scale effect of large multinational corporations, The effective management of its cash flow is becoming more and more important in the current economic environment. In the last ten years, the supply chain finance in the supply chain management theory has made great progress in both theory and practice. Many banks and enterprises have also done a lot of pioneering work in this field, which is also one of the focuses of innovation in the field of finance. At the same time, in the past few years, many enterprises and banks in our country have also started to make useful attempts in this field. And has made a lot of achievements. What we want to explain here is that the core of supply chain finance is the capital needs and management of each enterprise itself. In order to ensure the daily operation and future development of enterprises, only individual enterprises have a full understanding and understanding of their own capital needs, In order to better promote the development of supply chain finance and related supply chain and financial innovation. Combined with the concrete examples of cash flow forecasting management in X Company, this paper points out that most companies have the problem of managing their own funds. This paper puts forward the concept of cash supply chain. The flow direction is exactly the reverse of the current supply chain. Based on the analysis of the causes of the problems, the paper puts forward a cash flow forecasting and management solution based on the time series model in the supply chain management theory, the safe inventory theory and big data's analysis. And for the enterprise to create more value.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：上海交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F276.7;F274;F275.1

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