外商直接投資對江蘇省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構升級的影響研究
本文選題:FDI + 產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構升級 ; 參考:《揚州大學》2012年碩士論文
【摘要】:隨著經(jīng)濟全球化的不斷深入,外商直接投資(FDI)作為一類特殊的資本,在東道國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構調(diào)整中的作用更加凸顯。因此,在當今全球產(chǎn)業(yè)大轉(zhuǎn)移的浪潮下,抓住新一輪發(fā)展機遇,進一步積極有效地利用FDI,使之與東道國的產(chǎn)業(yè)政策緊密結(jié)合,不失時機地推進產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構的優(yōu)化升級,是各國及地方政府必須面對的重大課題。 江蘇是我國開放型經(jīng)濟發(fā)展較快的省份,其利用FDI的規(guī)模自2003年首次超過廣東以來已連續(xù)八年位居全國各省市之首。外資在為江蘇省帶來經(jīng)濟建設所急需的資本和技術的同時,也對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構的優(yōu)化升級產(chǎn)生了特殊而深遠的影響。與此同時,外資來源以香港投資居首,外資在區(qū)域及產(chǎn)業(yè)分布的嚴重失衡,也加劇了江蘇省產(chǎn)業(yè)與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的非均衡性,影響產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構的進一步調(diào)整與升級。 本文基于FDI與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構關系的相關理論,從資本供給和技術溢出效應入手,分析了FDI對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構升級的作用機理。在此基礎上,運用granger因果關系檢驗法分析FDI與江蘇產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構變動之間的關系,同時借助多元線性回歸模型度量FDI對江蘇省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構升級的貢獻程度,利用內(nèi)生技術增長模型檢驗FDI對江蘇省技術進步的影響。 通過實證研究,我們得到以下結(jié)論:1.江蘇省FDI和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構變動之間存在長期的均衡關系,FDI是引起產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構變動的格蘭杰原因;2.FDI對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構升級有正向的促進作用,且效果顯著,其中對第二產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)值貢獻最大,第三產(chǎn)業(yè)次之,第一產(chǎn)業(yè)最。3.FDI主要通過技術的直接轉(zhuǎn)移提升江蘇整體的技術水平,技術溢出效應不明顯。 結(jié)合上述分析結(jié)論,針對江蘇如何更加積極有效地利用FDI以促進產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構升級,本文提出了相應的對策建議,包括完善投資環(huán)境,提升引資能力;注重引資質(zhì)量,優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構;協(xié)調(diào)區(qū)域引資政策,實現(xiàn)外資梯度轉(zhuǎn)移;引導外資的投向,建設現(xiàn)代產(chǎn)業(yè)體系;增強外資的溢出效應,促進技術進步。
[Abstract]:With the deepening of economic globalization, foreign direct investment (FDI), as a kind of special capital, plays a more important role in the industrial structure adjustment of host country. Therefore, under the tide of global industrial transfer, we should seize a new round of development opportunities, make further active and effective use of FDI, make it closely integrate with the industrial policy of the host country, and seize the opportunity to promote the optimization and upgrading of the industrial structure. It is a major issue that governments of all countries and local governments must face. Jiangsu Province is a province with rapid development of open economy. The scale of using FDI has surpassed Guangdong for the first time since 2003. Jiangsu has been ranked first among all provinces and cities in China for eight consecutive years. Foreign capital brings the capital and technology badly needed for the economic construction of Jiangsu Province, but also has a special and far-reaching influence on the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure. At the same time, the main source of foreign investment is Hong Kong's investment, and the serious imbalance in the regional and industrial distribution of foreign capital also intensifies the unbalanced development of industry and regional economy in Jiangsu Province, which affects the further adjustment and upgrading of industrial structure. Based on the theory of the relationship between FDI and industrial structure, this paper analyzes the mechanism of FDI on the upgrading of industrial structure from the perspective of capital supply and technology spillover effect. On this basis, the granger causality test method is used to analyze the relationship between FDI and the change of Jiangsu industrial structure. At the same time, the contribution of FDI to the upgrading of Jiangsu industrial structure is measured by means of multiple linear regression model. Using endogenous technology growth model to test the impact of FDI on technological progress in Jiangsu Province. Through empirical research, we get the following conclusion: 1. There is a long-term equilibrium relationship between FDI and industrial structure change in Jiangsu Province. FDI is the cause of industrial structure change. 2. FDI has a positive effect on the upgrading of industrial structure, and the effect is significant, among which the contribution to the output value of the secondary industry is the greatest. The third industry is the second, the first industry is the smallest. 3. FDI promotes the whole technology level of Jiangsu mainly through the direct transfer of technology, and the technology spillover effect is not obvious. Based on the above conclusions, this paper puts forward the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions on how to use FDI more actively and effectively to promote the upgrading of industrial structure in Jiangsu, including improving the investment environment, enhancing the ability of attracting investment, paying attention to the quality of attracting investment. Optimize the industrial structure, coordinate the regional investment policy, realize the gradient transfer of foreign capital, guide the foreign investment to build the modern industrial system, strengthen the spillover effect of foreign capital, and promote technological progress.
【學位授予單位】:揚州大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2012
【分類號】:F279.2;F127;F224;F832.6
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