發(fā)布時間：2019-01-01 21:27

【摘要】：在經(jīng)受了由美國次貸危機引爆的全球金融危機后,通過各國政府政策協(xié)調與努力,世界經(jīng)濟重新走向正軌,使2009年世界經(jīng)濟有了復蘇的跡象,但希臘主權債務危機的爆發(fā)再一次把世界經(jīng)濟拖入深淵。歐債危機是2008年金融危機的延續(xù)和深化,是繼2008年金融危機之后,影響世界經(jīng)濟走向的最重要因素,同時也是自歐元誕生14年以來所遭遇的最嚴重危機。自希臘主權債務危機爆發(fā)以來,危機已迅速蔓延到愛爾蘭、葡萄牙、西班牙以及意大利等國,且形勢比較嚴峻。危機嚴重打擊了全球投資者的信心,全球股市劇烈波動,世界經(jīng)濟再次被歐債危機的陰云所籠罩,全球經(jīng)濟存在“二次探底”的可能。 歐盟作為我國第一大貿易伙伴、最大的出口市場、第一大技術引進地、重要的外商直接投資地及第二大進口市場,因此歐盟的經(jīng)濟運行狀況會直接影響到我國經(jīng)濟的正常運行以及中歐經(jīng)貿關系。在歐債危機的前景尚不明朗的背景下,方面,密切關注歐債危機的發(fā)展動態(tài),另一方面,積極采取措施把歐債危機所造成的危機最小化,充分利用危機所帶來的機遇。探討歐債危機爆發(fā)的原因以及對我國經(jīng)濟的影響,對于我國政府以后防范債務危機問題上,具有重要的理論意義和運用價值。 文章主要采用實證分析結合規(guī)范分析的方法進行論述。通過歷史的視角來對歐元區(qū)債務危機的形成及演變進行歸納總結,通過對現(xiàn)有的文獻資料進行深入的分析,進一步構建成歐債危機的架構機制。接下來利用圖表、數(shù)據(jù),結合數(shù)量模型對歐元區(qū)主權債務危機對我國經(jīng)濟的影響進行實證分析,得出此次歐債危機對我國出口影響最大的因素是歐元區(qū)國民收入增長速度。最后,利用規(guī)范分析的方法提出了相應的應對措施和建議,總結出了我國在推進東亞區(qū)域貨幣一體化以及加強地方政府債務管理等方面的經(jīng)驗和啟示。
[Abstract]:After experiencing the global financial crisis triggered by the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States, through the coordination and efforts of the governments of various countries, the world economy is back on the right track, giving the world economy signs of recovery in 2009. But the outbreak of Greece's sovereign debt crisis has once again dragged the world economy into the abyss. The European debt crisis is the continuation and deepening of the financial crisis in 2008. It is the most important factor influencing the world economic trend after the financial crisis of 2008. It is also the most serious crisis encountered by the euro since the birth of the euro 14 years ago. Since the Greek sovereign debt crisis broke out, the crisis has spread rapidly to Ireland, Portugal, Spain and Italy, and the situation is relatively serious. The crisis has dealt a severe blow to the confidence of global investors, global stock markets are volatile, the world economy is once again clouded by the European debt crisis, the global economy has the possibility of a "double-dip". As our country's largest trading partner, the largest export market, the largest technology import area, the important place of foreign direct investment and the second largest import market, Therefore, the economic operation of the EU will directly affect the normal operation of China's economy and China-EU economic and trade relations. Under the background that the prospect of European debt crisis is not clear, we should pay close attention to the development trend of European debt crisis. On the other hand, we should take active measures to minimize the crisis caused by European debt crisis and make full use of the opportunity brought by it. It is of great theoretical significance and practical value to probe into the causes of the European debt crisis and its influence on our country's economy, which is of great theoretical significance and practical value for our government to prevent the debt crisis in the future. The article mainly uses the empirical analysis combined with the normative analysis method to discuss. The formation and evolution of the euro zone debt crisis are summarized from the perspective of history, and the structure mechanism of the European debt crisis is further constructed through the in-depth analysis of the existing literature. Then the paper makes an empirical analysis of the impact of the euro zone sovereign debt crisis on China's economy by means of charts, data and quantitative models, and concludes that the most important factor affecting China's exports is the growth rate of national income in the euro zone. Finally, the paper puts forward corresponding countermeasures and suggestions by using the method of normative analysis, and summarizes the experience and enlightenment of our country in promoting the regional monetary integration in East Asia and strengthening the management of local government debt.
【學位授予單位】：安徽大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F124.1;F815

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本文編號：2398121