發(fā)布時(shí)間：2019-01-01 21:27

【摘要】：在經(jīng)受了由美國(guó)次貸危機(jī)引爆的全球金融危機(jī)后,通過各國(guó)政府政策協(xié)調(diào)與努力,世界經(jīng)濟(jì)重新走向正軌,使2009年世界經(jīng)濟(jì)有了復(fù)蘇的跡象,但希臘主權(quán)債務(wù)危機(jī)的爆發(fā)再一次把世界經(jīng)濟(jì)拖入深淵。歐債危機(jī)是2008年金融危機(jī)的延續(xù)和深化,是繼2008年金融危機(jī)之后,影響世界經(jīng)濟(jì)走向的最重要因素,同時(shí)也是自歐元誕生14年以來所遭遇的最嚴(yán)重危機(jī)。自希臘主權(quán)債務(wù)危機(jī)爆發(fā)以來,危機(jī)已迅速蔓延到愛爾蘭、葡萄牙、西班牙以及意大利等國(guó),且形勢(shì)比較嚴(yán)峻。危機(jī)嚴(yán)重打擊了全球投資者的信心,全球股市劇烈波動(dòng),世界經(jīng)濟(jì)再次被歐債危機(jī)的陰云所籠罩,全球經(jīng)濟(jì)存在“二次探底”的可能。 歐盟作為我國(guó)第一大貿(mào)易伙伴、最大的出口市場(chǎng)、第一大技術(shù)引進(jìn)地、重要的外商直接投資地及第二大進(jìn)口市場(chǎng),因此歐盟的經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行狀況會(huì)直接影響到我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的正常運(yùn)行以及中歐經(jīng)貿(mào)關(guān)系。在歐債危機(jī)的前景尚不明朗的背景下,方面,密切關(guān)注歐債危機(jī)的發(fā)展動(dòng)態(tài),另一方面,積極采取措施把歐債危機(jī)所造成的危機(jī)最小化,充分利用危機(jī)所帶來的機(jī)遇。探討歐債危機(jī)爆發(fā)的原因以及對(duì)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響,對(duì)于我國(guó)政府以后防范債務(wù)危機(jī)問題上,具有重要的理論意義和運(yùn)用價(jià)值。 文章主要采用實(shí)證分析結(jié)合規(guī)范分析的方法進(jìn)行論述。通過歷史的視角來對(duì)歐元區(qū)債務(wù)危機(jī)的形成及演變進(jìn)行歸納總結(jié),通過對(duì)現(xiàn)有的文獻(xiàn)資料進(jìn)行深入的分析,進(jìn)一步構(gòu)建成歐債危機(jī)的架構(gòu)機(jī)制。接下來利用圖表、數(shù)據(jù),結(jié)合數(shù)量模型對(duì)歐元區(qū)主權(quán)債務(wù)危機(jī)對(duì)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析,得出此次歐債危機(jī)對(duì)我國(guó)出口影響最大的因素是歐元區(qū)國(guó)民收入增長(zhǎng)速度。最后,利用規(guī)范分析的方法提出了相應(yīng)的應(yīng)對(duì)措施和建議,總結(jié)出了我國(guó)在推進(jìn)東亞區(qū)域貨幣一體化以及加強(qiáng)地方政府債務(wù)管理等方面的經(jīng)驗(yàn)和啟示。
[Abstract]:After experiencing the global financial crisis triggered by the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States, through the coordination and efforts of the governments of various countries, the world economy is back on the right track, giving the world economy signs of recovery in 2009. But the outbreak of Greece's sovereign debt crisis has once again dragged the world economy into the abyss. The European debt crisis is the continuation and deepening of the financial crisis in 2008. It is the most important factor influencing the world economic trend after the financial crisis of 2008. It is also the most serious crisis encountered by the euro since the birth of the euro 14 years ago. Since the Greek sovereign debt crisis broke out, the crisis has spread rapidly to Ireland, Portugal, Spain and Italy, and the situation is relatively serious. The crisis has dealt a severe blow to the confidence of global investors, global stock markets are volatile, the world economy is once again clouded by the European debt crisis, the global economy has the possibility of a "double-dip". As our country's largest trading partner, the largest export market, the largest technology import area, the important place of foreign direct investment and the second largest import market, Therefore, the economic operation of the EU will directly affect the normal operation of China's economy and China-EU economic and trade relations. Under the background that the prospect of European debt crisis is not clear, we should pay close attention to the development trend of European debt crisis. On the other hand, we should take active measures to minimize the crisis caused by European debt crisis and make full use of the opportunity brought by it. It is of great theoretical significance and practical value to probe into the causes of the European debt crisis and its influence on our country's economy, which is of great theoretical significance and practical value for our government to prevent the debt crisis in the future. The article mainly uses the empirical analysis combined with the normative analysis method to discuss. The formation and evolution of the euro zone debt crisis are summarized from the perspective of history, and the structure mechanism of the European debt crisis is further constructed through the in-depth analysis of the existing literature. Then the paper makes an empirical analysis of the impact of the euro zone sovereign debt crisis on China's economy by means of charts, data and quantitative models, and concludes that the most important factor affecting China's exports is the growth rate of national income in the euro zone. Finally, the paper puts forward corresponding countermeasures and suggestions by using the method of normative analysis, and summarizes the experience and enlightenment of our country in promoting the regional monetary integration in East Asia and strengthening the management of local government debt.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：安徽大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F124.1;F815

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本文編號(hào)：2398121