發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-05-03 10:39

  本文選題：外匯儲(chǔ)備 + 適度規(guī)模��； 參考：《山東財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文

【摘要】：我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備規(guī)模連續(xù)多年世界第一，高額外匯儲(chǔ)備是我國(guó)國(guó)力的象征，在平衡國(guó)際收支和促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方面發(fā)揮積極作用。但是，我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備規(guī)模過(guò)大，給宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行帶來(lái)一些列負(fù)面影響；我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備在幣種結(jié)構(gòu)和資產(chǎn)運(yùn)用上存在不少問(wèn)題，面臨諸多風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。文章分析了我國(guó)高額外匯儲(chǔ)備的形成歷程和原因，探討了外匯儲(chǔ)備規(guī)模過(guò)大帶來(lái)的負(fù)面影響和外匯儲(chǔ)備結(jié)構(gòu)管理的現(xiàn)狀，在借鑒日本和新加坡外匯管理經(jīng)驗(yàn)的基礎(chǔ)上，提出了完善我國(guó)高額外匯儲(chǔ)備風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的對(duì)策。 論文共分六章，，第一章介紹了文章的選題背景和意義，總結(jié)了國(guó)內(nèi)外在外匯儲(chǔ)備適度規(guī)模和結(jié)構(gòu)管理方面的研究成果，并指明了文章的研究方法、創(chuàng)新點(diǎn)和不足。第二章分析了我國(guó)高額外匯儲(chǔ)備的形成歷程和成因。第三章依據(jù)我國(guó)用匯的實(shí)際情況對(duì)阿格沃爾模型進(jìn)行修正，并運(yùn)用修正的阿格沃爾模型對(duì)我國(guó)1994-2010年的外匯儲(chǔ)備適度規(guī)模進(jìn)行測(cè)算，通過(guò)與外匯實(shí)有規(guī)模的對(duì)比，得出結(jié)論：近年來(lái)，我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備規(guī)模過(guò)大，基于此結(jié)論分析了高額外匯儲(chǔ)備對(duì)宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行的負(fù)面影響。第四章分析了我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備幣種結(jié)構(gòu)和資產(chǎn)結(jié)構(gòu)的現(xiàn)狀，并基于現(xiàn)狀的分析指出了外匯資產(chǎn)面臨的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。第五章介紹了日本和新加坡的外匯儲(chǔ)備管理經(jīng)驗(yàn)及其對(duì)中國(guó)的啟示。第六章探討了完善我國(guó)高額外匯儲(chǔ)備風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的對(duì)策，即控制外匯儲(chǔ)備的總體規(guī)模、優(yōu)化外匯儲(chǔ)備的幣種結(jié)構(gòu)、拓寬外匯儲(chǔ)備的資產(chǎn)運(yùn)營(yíng)方式和推進(jìn)人民幣國(guó)際化。
[Abstract]:China's foreign exchange reserve scale has been the first in the world for many years. The high foreign exchange reserve is the symbol of China's national strength and plays an active role in balancing the international balance of payments and promoting economic development. However, the scale of foreign exchange reserves in China is too large, which brings some negative effects to the macro-economic operation, and there are many problems and risks in the currency structure and asset utilization of foreign exchange reserves in China. This paper analyzes the forming process and reasons of high foreign exchange reserves in China, probes into the negative effects brought by the excessive scale of foreign exchange reserves and the present situation of foreign exchange reserve structure management, and draws lessons from the experience of foreign exchange management in Japan and Singapore. The paper puts forward the countermeasures to improve the risk management of high foreign exchange reserves in China. The thesis is divided into six chapters. The first chapter introduces the background and significance of the paper, summarizes the domestic and foreign research results in the appropriate scale and structure of foreign exchange reserves management, and points out the research methods, innovation points and deficiencies. The second chapter analyzes the formation process and causes of China's high foreign exchange reserves. In the third chapter, the Agarwal model is revised according to the actual situation of China's foreign exchange, and the appropriate scale of China's foreign exchange reserves from 1994 to 2010 is measured by using the modified Agarwal model, which is compared with the actual scale of foreign exchange. Conclusion: in recent years, the scale of China's foreign exchange reserves is too large. Based on this conclusion, the negative effects of high foreign exchange reserves on macroeconomic operation are analyzed. Chapter four analyzes the current situation of currency structure and asset structure of foreign exchange reserve in China and points out the risks faced by foreign exchange assets based on the analysis of current situation. Chapter five introduces the experience of foreign exchange reserve management in Japan and Singapore and its enlightenment to China. The sixth chapter discusses the countermeasures to improve the risk management of China's high foreign exchange reserves, that is, to control the overall scale of foreign exchange reserves, optimize the currency structure of foreign exchange reserves, broaden the asset operation mode of foreign exchange reserves and promote the internationalization of RMB.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：山東財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號(hào)】：F832.6

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本文編號(hào)：1838168