美國經(jīng)濟復蘇前景展望及QE4評估
發(fā)布時間:2018-05-24 20:34
本文選題:美國 + 經(jīng)濟 ; 參考:《國際貿(mào)易》2013年01期
【摘要】:正一、美國經(jīng)濟溫和復蘇但仍疲軟2012年美國經(jīng)濟溫和復蘇,但未進入快車道。相對于2011年美國全年GDP增長1.7%而言,2012年一季度美國GDP增速提高到1.9%,二季度GDP增速又回落到1.3%。三季度,由于消費增長(人均消費增長2%,高于二季度的1.5%)、樓市復蘇加快(住宅類固定投資增長14.4%,高于二季度的8.5%)及國防開支增加(3年來最快的增長)(路透社,2012.10.26),三季度GDP增速環(huán)比回升到3.1%。預(yù)計四季度經(jīng)濟增長有可能放緩。短期看,如果失業(yè)率繼續(xù)下降,樓市持續(xù)復蘇,2012年美國
[Abstract]:First, the U.S. economy recovered modestly but remained weak in 2012, but did not enter the fast track. U.S. GDP growth rose to 1.9 percent in the first quarter of 2012, compared with 1.7 percent for the full year of 2011, and fell back to 1.3 percent in the second quarter. In the third quarter, As consumption growth (2 per capita, up from 1.5 in the second quarter), the housing recovery picked up (residential fixed investment rose 14.4, up from 8.5 in the second quarter) and defense spending increased (the fastest increase in three years) (Reuters reported the fastest pace of growth in three years), with GDP growth picking up to 3.1 per cent in the third quarter. Economic growth is expected to slow in the fourth quarter. In the short term, if unemployment continues to fall and the housing market continues to recover, the United States in 2012
【作者單位】: 中國社會科學院美國經(jīng)濟研究員心;
【分類號】:F171.2;F827.12
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本文編號:1930456
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