發(fā)布時間：2018-11-10 18:56

【摘要】：自改革開放以來我國貿(mào)易大國的地位日益凸顯,對外貿(mào)易尤其是出口貿(mào)易方面取得的斐然成就更是引人矚目。我國雖然已經(jīng)成為世界上名副其實的全球貿(mào)易大國之一,但并非貿(mào)易強國。我國的貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)問題一直是人們所關(guān)注的重點,在過去的很長一段時間當(dāng)中國內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家們都致力于分析我國貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)現(xiàn)狀和結(jié)構(gòu)改善問題。近年來出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)雖然有所優(yōu)化,但進(jìn)口結(jié)構(gòu)方面還存在隱憂。從“科技興貿(mào)”戰(zhàn)略到國務(wù)院近年來接連頒布的《關(guān)于加強進(jìn)口促進(jìn)對外貿(mào)易平衡發(fā)展的指導(dǎo)意見》和《關(guān)于加強進(jìn)口的若干意見》等都可以看出國家正在實施積極的進(jìn)口促進(jìn)戰(zhàn)略,旨在鼓勵先進(jìn)技術(shù)設(shè)備和關(guān)鍵零部件進(jìn)口。本文選擇從高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)品進(jìn)口的角度研究其對出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)的影響。選取1991年至2012年我國高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)品進(jìn)口數(shù)據(jù)和我國出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)作為樣本,在所選樣本空間內(nèi)利用單位根檢驗、Johansen協(xié)整關(guān)系檢驗和Granger因果關(guān)系檢驗來研究高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)品進(jìn)口與出口貿(mào)易商品結(jié)構(gòu)和方式結(jié)構(gòu)變化之間的關(guān)系。研究結(jié)果表明,高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)品進(jìn)口在長期內(nèi)對初級產(chǎn)品、工業(yè)制成品以及一般產(chǎn)品出口會有正向影響,對加工貿(mào)易產(chǎn)品出口有反向影響,且影響系數(shù)各不相同,總體來講會有利于出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's status as a major trading country has become increasingly prominent, and the remarkable achievements in foreign trade, especially export trade, have attracted more and more attention. Although China has become one of the real global trading powers in the world, it is not a trade power. China's trade structure has been the focus of attention, in the past a long period of time, domestic economists have been devoted to the analysis of the current situation of China's trade structure and structural improvement. Although the export trade structure has been optimized in recent years, there are still hidden worries in the import structure. From the strategy of "revitalizing trade through science and technology" to the "guiding opinions on strengthening imports to promote the balanced Development of Foreign Trade" promulgated by the State Council in recent years, and "some opinions on strengthening imports", we can see that the country is implementing them. Active import promotion strategies, Aims to encourage the import of advanced technology, equipment and key components. This paper studies the influence of high-tech products on export structure from the point of view of import of high-tech products. From 1991 to 2012, the import data of China's high-tech products and the related data of China's export trade structure are selected as samples, and the unit root test is used in the selected sample space. Johansen cointegration test and Granger causality test are used to study the relationship between the import of high-tech products and the changes of commodity structure and mode structure in export trade. The results show that in the long run, the import of high-tech products will have a positive effect on the export of primary products, manufactured goods and general products, and a negative impact on the export of processed trade products. Generally speaking, it will be conducive to the optimization of export trade structure.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：暨南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：F276.44;F752.6

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