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Impact of Terrorist Attacks on Stock Returns and Investors’

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2020-12-06 15:03
  恐怖襲擊不僅破壞了一個(gè)國(guó)家基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施的建設(shè),而且會(huì)擾亂一國(guó)的正常經(jīng)濟(jì)活動(dòng)。股票市場(chǎng)作為一個(gè)經(jīng)濟(jì)體的晴雨表,將會(huì)很容易地受到恐怖襲擊的影響。由于巴基斯坦與阿富汗國(guó)土接壤,受阿富汗國(guó)家恐怖主義的影響,巴基斯坦也成為了恐怖襲擊的重災(zāi)區(qū)。自911事件發(fā)生以來(lái),巴基斯坦一直是恐怖襲擊的直接受害者。雖然恐怖襲擊的強(qiáng)度與發(fā)生次數(shù)會(huì)隨著時(shí)間而發(fā)生變化,但恐怖襲擊活動(dòng)在過(guò)去的二十年里持續(xù)不斷地破壞著巴基斯坦的資本市場(chǎng)和經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展。巴基斯坦的情況與其他西方國(guó)家不同,西方國(guó)家很少直接受到恐怖襲擊的影響。發(fā)生巴基斯坦的恐怖襲擊活動(dòng)為學(xué)者們提供了研究的基礎(chǔ),學(xué)者們可以研究持續(xù)不斷的恐怖主義行為對(duì)股市的影響。它還提供了一個(gè)研究機(jī)會(huì),就是當(dāng)恐怖襲擊發(fā)生比較頻繁的時(shí)候,新出現(xiàn)的恐怖襲擊對(duì)股市的影響會(huì)發(fā)生何種變化?換句話說(shuō),當(dāng)恐怖襲擊成為常態(tài)時(shí),市場(chǎng)上的投資者情緒以及投資信心不會(huì)出現(xiàn)劇烈波動(dòng),從而不會(huì)對(duì)股市產(chǎn)生新的影響。本文旨在研究巴基斯坦國(guó)內(nèi)的恐怖襲擊對(duì)巴基斯坦股票市場(chǎng)的影響。本文試圖建立恐怖襲擊強(qiáng)度與股票市場(chǎng)之間的長(zhǎng)期關(guān)系。為了研究恐怖襲擊強(qiáng)度與股票市場(chǎng)的長(zhǎng)期關(guān)系,本文選取了 2002年-2016年15年的股票市場(chǎng)數(shù)... 

【文章來(lái)源】:東北財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)遼寧省

【文章頁(yè)數(shù)】:158 頁(yè)

【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:博士

【文章目錄】:
Acknowledgement
ABSTRACT
摘要
Chapter 1: Introduction
    1.1 Background of the study
        1.1.1 Financial disruption after 9/11 Terrorist attack
        1.1.2 Effect on International stock market
        1.1.3 Effect on Pakistan stock market
        1.1.4 Terrorism effect on Investors' sentiment
    1.2 Problem statement
    1.3 Objectives of the study
    1.4 Significance of the study
    1.5 Innovative point of the study
    1.6 Structure of the study
Chapter 2: Terrorism, Pakistan Economy and Stock Market
    2.1 Historical background of terrorism in Pakistan
        2.1.1 Terrorism and conflicts
    2.2 Security situation in Pakistan
    2.3 Pakistan's Economy
        2.3.1 Sector wise performance in Pakistan
        2.3.2 Social welfare support
        2.3.3 Health and Education
        2.3.4 Import and Export
    2.4 Pakistan stock market
        2.4.1 Stock market performance
        2.4.2 Sector wise analysis
    2.5 Terrorism and Pakistan economic and market activity
Chapter 3: Literature Review and Hypothesis Development
    3.1 Terrorism and stock market returns
    3.2 Major terrorist attacks and stock market returns
    3.3 Terrorism and Industries stock returns
    3.4 Terrorism and investors' sentiment
    3.5 Summary of Literature review
    3.6 Integrated conceptual framework
Chapter 4: Research Methodology
    4.1 Sample period and Dataset
    4.2 Measuring Market/Industry/Stock returns
        4.2.1 Measures of Abnormal Returns (AR)
        4.2.2 Measures of Cumulative Abnormal Return (CAR)
    4.3 Measuring Terrorism
        4.3.1 Individual measures of terrorism intensity/magnitude
        4.3.2 Terrorism Factor
    4.4 Modelling terrorism and market returns
    4.5 Event study analysis of terrorism and market returns
        4.5.1 Event selection criterion
        4.5.2 Brief introduction of selected events
        4.5.3 Event-study empirical design
    4.6 Terrorism and investor's sentiment
Chapter 5: Empirical Results and Discussions
    5.1 Descriptive statistics, stationarity, and correlation analyses
    5.2 Terrorism and market returns
    5.3 Market's response to major terrorist incidents
        5.3.1 The Assassination of Benazir Bhutto
        5.3.2 Terrorists' attack on Pakistan Ordnance Factory
        5.3.3 Terrorists' attack on All Saints Church
        5.3.4 Terrorists' attack on Army Public School
        5.3.5 Cumulative analyses of all four events
    5.4 Terrorist attacks and investors' sentiments
        5.4.1 Benazir's Assassination
        5.4.2 Pakistan Ordinance Factory
        5.4.3 All Saints Church Peshawar
        5.4.4 Army Public School incident
Chapter 6: Conclusions
    6.1 Concluding remarks
    6.2 Policy implications
    6.3 Limitations
    6.4 Future work
List of Online Publications and International Conference
References



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