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  本文關鍵詞：低碳經(jīng)濟背景下廣東省產(chǎn)業(yè)結構升級研究　出處：《暨南大學》2015年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

  更多相關文章： 廣東 產(chǎn)業(yè)結構 能源消費 碳排放 VAR模型

【摘要】：本文旨在對廣東省低碳經(jīng)濟轉型下的產(chǎn)業(yè)結構變化進行研究,明確推進節(jié)能減排的低碳經(jīng)濟,對廣東省經(jīng)濟發(fā)展及產(chǎn)業(yè)結構會產(chǎn)生怎樣的影響。首先就廣東省經(jīng)濟發(fā)展、產(chǎn)業(yè)結構、能源消費及碳排放現(xiàn)狀予以描述,進而對能源消耗、碳排放與產(chǎn)業(yè)結構的關系進行理論與實證分析,得出結論并提出實現(xiàn)低碳轉型下產(chǎn)業(yè)結構升級的政策建議。具體而言,依據(jù)廣東省經(jīng)濟發(fā)展實情,分析廣東省三次產(chǎn)業(yè)間及各產(chǎn)業(yè)內部的結構變化,對廣東省的三次產(chǎn)業(yè)及各主要行業(yè)的碳排放與能源消費變化趨勢進行描述性統(tǒng)計分析,明確碳排放總量、碳排放強度及能源消費量、能源強度在不同產(chǎn)業(yè)及各行業(yè)部門間的分布特征及變化規(guī)律。采用向量自回歸模型(VAR)分析1995-2012年間廣東的能源強度、二氧化碳排放強度和產(chǎn)業(yè)結構的變化,并進行平穩(wěn)性檢驗與格蘭杰因果檢驗。通過VAR模型中的脈沖響應函數(shù),分析碳強度與能源強度對產(chǎn)業(yè)結構的沖擊效應。結果表明,碳強度和能源強度對產(chǎn)業(yè)結構有負向沖擊效應,因而在低碳轉型下,降低能源消耗與碳排放,倒逼產(chǎn)業(yè)結構的優(yōu)化升級。
[Abstract]:The purpose of this paper is to study the changes of industrial structure under the transition of low-carbon economy in Guangdong Province, and to clearly promote the low-carbon economy with energy saving and emission reduction. First of all, the economic development, industrial structure, energy consumption and carbon emissions of Guangdong Province will be described, and then energy consumption. The relationship between carbon emissions and industrial structure is analyzed theoretically and empirically, and the conclusion is drawn and the policy recommendations are put forward to realize the upgrading of industrial structure under low-carbon transformation. Specifically, according to the economic development situation of Guangdong Province. This paper analyzes the structural changes of three industries and each industry in Guangdong Province, and makes a descriptive statistical analysis of the carbon emissions and energy consumption trends of the three industries and major industries in Guangdong Province, and clarifies the total amount of carbon emissions. Carbon intensity and energy consumption. The distribution and variation of energy intensity in different industries and sectors. The energy intensity in Guangdong Province from 1995 to 2012 was analyzed by using VAR model. The change of carbon dioxide emission intensity and industrial structure, and the smoothness test and Granger causality test. The impulse response function in VAR model is used. The impact effect of carbon intensity and energy intensity on industrial structure is analyzed. The results show that carbon intensity and energy intensity have negative impact effect on industrial structure, so energy consumption and carbon emission are reduced under low carbon transition. The optimization and upgrading of industrial structure.
【學位授予單位】：暨南大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：F121.3

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本文編號：1408009