我國輸入性通貨膨脹研究
發(fā)布時間：2018-10-09 13:09
【摘要】：改革開放以來，我國經(jīng)濟(jì)平均以9.75%的速度快速增長，人均可支配收入大幅增加，人民生活水平顯著提高。但伴隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)增長，中國共出現(xiàn)了五次不同程度的通貨膨脹，嚴(yán)重影響了我國國民經(jīng)濟(jì)的平穩(wěn)運(yùn)行。隨著改革開放的逐漸深入，特別是中國加入WTO以來，國際化進(jìn)程不斷加快，對外聯(lián)系越來越緊密，國外通貨膨脹對我國經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響顯現(xiàn)出來。由于我國的粗放型生產(chǎn)模式需要大量原材料投入，原材料價格的變動會對我國物價產(chǎn)生很大影響；此外，我國的外貿(mào)依存度一度達(dá)到了60%，GDP依賴進(jìn)出口的比重非常大。當(dāng)國外出現(xiàn)通貨膨脹時很容易通過物價傳導(dǎo)和進(jìn)出口變動造成我國物價上漲。我國學(xué)者對傳統(tǒng)通貨膨脹的研究已經(jīng)非常豐富，但對輸入性通貨膨脹的研究仍比較缺乏。我國是否存在輸入性通貨膨脹，哪幾輪通貨膨脹帶有輸入性因素，，輸入性通貨膨脹的特征是什么，危害是什么，如何治理？本文對以上幾個問題進(jìn)行了研究探討。 第一章概括介紹了通貨膨脹的概念、分類以及研究成果。第二章描述了目前輸入性通貨膨脹的研究狀況，并就輸入性通貨膨脹如何通過國際貿(mào)易、資本輸入、匯率變動進(jìn)行傳導(dǎo)進(jìn)行了分析。第三章對我國五輪通貨膨脹的輸入性因素進(jìn)行分析，并就進(jìn)口環(huán)節(jié)、國際收支環(huán)節(jié)、資本流入環(huán)節(jié)的通脹指標(biāo)進(jìn)行了對比分析。第四章根據(jù)上文的分析梳理出我國輸入性通貨膨脹的特征，具體包括范圍廣泛，影響深遠(yuǎn)，以及與其他類型通貨膨脹聯(lián)系緊密等方面。同時本文也對輸入性通貨膨脹的危害進(jìn)行了闡述，主要有會使我國企業(yè)國際競爭力下降，導(dǎo)致我國外匯儲備縮水，造成人民幣幣值不穩(wěn)，以及資本和房地產(chǎn)市場波動等。第五章則從如何采用合理的貨幣政策，增加我國匯率彈性并加快利率市場化進(jìn)程，大力發(fā)展現(xiàn)代農(nóng)業(yè)和完善我國外匯管理體制且鼓勵向外投資五個方面，對如何治理輸入性通貨膨脹提出了建議。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's economy has grown at an average rate of 9.75 percent, the per capita disposable income has increased substantially, and the living standards of the people have improved significantly. However, with the economic growth, there are five times of inflation in China, which seriously affects the smooth operation of our national economy. With the deepening of reform and opening up, especially since China's entry into WTO, the process of internationalization is speeding up, and the external relations are becoming closer and closer. The influence of foreign inflation on our economy has emerged. Because the extensive production mode of our country needs a large amount of raw material input, the change of raw material price will have a great influence on the price of our country. In addition, our country's foreign trade dependence degree once reached 60% GDP dependence on import and export proportion is very large. When there is inflation in foreign countries, it is easy to cause price rise through price transmission and import and export changes. The research on traditional inflation has been very rich in our country, but the research on imported inflation is still lacking. Is there imported inflation in our country, which round of inflation has input factors, what are the characteristics of imported inflation, what is the harm, and how to manage it? The above problems are studied and discussed in this paper. The first chapter introduces the concept of inflation, classification and research results. The second chapter describes the current research situation of imported inflation, and analyzes how import inflation is conducted through international trade, capital input and exchange rate change. The third chapter analyzes the import factors of China's five rounds of inflation, and makes a comparative analysis on the inflation index of import link, international balance of payments link and capital inflow link. The fourth chapter combs out the characteristics of China's imported inflation according to the above analysis, including a wide range, far-reaching impact, and closely related to other types of inflation and so on. At the same time, this paper also expounds the harm of imported inflation, which will decrease the international competitiveness of Chinese enterprises, reduce the foreign exchange reserve of our country, cause the instability of RMB currency, as well as the fluctuation of capital and real estate market, etc. The fifth chapter focuses on five aspects: how to adopt reasonable monetary policy, how to increase the elasticity of exchange rate and accelerate the process of interest rate marketization, vigorously develop modern agriculture and perfect our foreign exchange management system and encourage outward investment. Some suggestions on how to control the imported inflation are put forward.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：吉林財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F822.5
本文編號：2259446
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's economy has grown at an average rate of 9.75 percent, the per capita disposable income has increased substantially, and the living standards of the people have improved significantly. However, with the economic growth, there are five times of inflation in China, which seriously affects the smooth operation of our national economy. With the deepening of reform and opening up, especially since China's entry into WTO, the process of internationalization is speeding up, and the external relations are becoming closer and closer. The influence of foreign inflation on our economy has emerged. Because the extensive production mode of our country needs a large amount of raw material input, the change of raw material price will have a great influence on the price of our country. In addition, our country's foreign trade dependence degree once reached 60% GDP dependence on import and export proportion is very large. When there is inflation in foreign countries, it is easy to cause price rise through price transmission and import and export changes. The research on traditional inflation has been very rich in our country, but the research on imported inflation is still lacking. Is there imported inflation in our country, which round of inflation has input factors, what are the characteristics of imported inflation, what is the harm, and how to manage it? The above problems are studied and discussed in this paper. The first chapter introduces the concept of inflation, classification and research results. The second chapter describes the current research situation of imported inflation, and analyzes how import inflation is conducted through international trade, capital input and exchange rate change. The third chapter analyzes the import factors of China's five rounds of inflation, and makes a comparative analysis on the inflation index of import link, international balance of payments link and capital inflow link. The fourth chapter combs out the characteristics of China's imported inflation according to the above analysis, including a wide range, far-reaching impact, and closely related to other types of inflation and so on. At the same time, this paper also expounds the harm of imported inflation, which will decrease the international competitiveness of Chinese enterprises, reduce the foreign exchange reserve of our country, cause the instability of RMB currency, as well as the fluctuation of capital and real estate market, etc. The fifth chapter focuses on five aspects: how to adopt reasonable monetary policy, how to increase the elasticity of exchange rate and accelerate the process of interest rate marketization, vigorously develop modern agriculture and perfect our foreign exchange management system and encourage outward investment. Some suggestions on how to control the imported inflation are put forward.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：吉林財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F822.5
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