俄羅斯圣彼得堡大港口海上集裝箱運(yùn)輸發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略
發(fā)布時(shí)間：2020-12-10 18:25
圣彼得堡大港口被認(rèn)為是俄羅斯土地與波羅的海之間重要的門戶,波羅的海曾用于貿(mào)易,也是金融和工業(yè)的中心。海港的行業(yè)包括:石油和天然氣貿(mào)易,電子工業(yè)和造船業(yè)。圣彼得堡港務(wù)局是負(fù)責(zé)規(guī)劃,組織和發(fā)展海港的國(guó)家機(jī)構(gòu)。隨著2011年新的圣彼得堡海港工作的開(kāi)始,開(kāi)始討論有關(guān)其進(jìn)一步發(fā)展的可能方向的建議。圣彼得堡海港已從2015年開(kāi)始啟動(dòng)海港基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施的開(kāi)發(fā)計(jì)劃。發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略包括在海港增加一些設(shè)施,其中包括一個(gè)碼頭,該碼頭的年產(chǎn)能為200萬(wàn)噸黑色金屬,以及多用途處理設(shè)施,其年產(chǎn)能為300萬(wàn)噸。這種發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略存在一些弱點(diǎn)�？紤]到這一點(diǎn),很顯然,對(duì)圣彼得堡港口采用的發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略進(jìn)行進(jìn)一步調(diào)查變得越來(lái)越重要,當(dāng)前的研究旨在評(píng)估圣彼得堡港口采用的當(dāng)前發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略。該研究還旨在提出一種可持續(xù)發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略,其中應(yīng)考慮到圣彼得堡海港行業(yè)的經(jīng)濟(jì),結(jié)構(gòu),政治和環(huán)境性質(zhì)的相互關(guān)聯(lián)的方面。我們通過(guò)定性和定量的角度解決這兩個(gè)主要目標(biāo),方法是使用SWOT分析描述當(dāng)前的發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略狀態(tài),并調(diào)查圣彼得堡海上集裝箱運(yùn)輸?shù)膭?dòng)態(tài)需求,并對(duì)未來(lái)集裝箱運(yùn)輸?shù)男枨笞龀鲇行У念A(yù)測(cè)。
【文章來(lái)源】：大連海事大學(xué)遼寧省 211工程院校
【文章頁(yè)數(shù)】：70 頁(yè)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【文章目錄】：
摘要
Abstract
1 Introduction
1.1 Background and Significance
1.2 Research Objectives
1.3 Literature Review
1.3.1 Seaport Performance Empirical Literature
1.3.2 Seaport Demand Analysis and Forecasting Empirical Studies
1.3.3 Conclusion
1.3.4 Research Outline
2 Theoretical Framework
2.1 Introductions to different theories for seaport performance analysis
2.2 Port development Theories
3 SWOT Analysis for the Sea container transportation of Big Port of Saint-Petersburg
3.1 Introduction
3.1.1 Review and History
3.1.2 Infrastructure, Equipments, and operations of the port
3.1.3 Existing Port Development Strategy
3.1.4 Container Terminals
3.2 Probable strengths and weaknesses for the internal environment of St.Petersburg seaport
3.2.1 Infrastructure
3.2.2 Gross Regional product
3.3 Probable opportunities and threats for the External environment of St.Petersburg seaport
3.3.1 World Economy
3.3.2 Political and Environmental condition
3.4 Conclusion
4 Forecast of sea container throughput of Big Port of Saint Petersburg in Russia
4.1 Variables Selection and Data Collection
4.2 Econometric Model
4.3 Dynamic Demand Analysis for St. Petersburg seaport
4.3.1 Pre-Estimation specifications
4.3.2 "VAR" Estimation Procedure
4.3.3 Post-Estimation Specifications
4.3.4 Elasticities Estimation
4.4 Forecasting Procedure
4.4.1 Forecasting Analysis
5 A proposed Horizontal development strategy
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Horizontal development goals
5.3 Strategic Focus
6 Results and Conclusions
References
致謝
作者簡(jiǎn)歷及攻讀碩士學(xué)位期間的科研成果
【參考文獻(xiàn)】：
期刊論文
[1]基于徑向基神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)的集裝箱吞吐量組合預(yù)測(cè)[J]. 劉志杰,季令,葉玉玲,耿志民. 同濟(jì)大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào)(自然科學(xué)版). 2007(06)
本文編號(hào)：2909165
【文章來(lái)源】：大連海事大學(xué)遼寧省 211工程院校
【文章頁(yè)數(shù)】：70 頁(yè)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【文章目錄】：
摘要
Abstract
1 Introduction
1.1 Background and Significance
1.2 Research Objectives
1.3 Literature Review
1.3.1 Seaport Performance Empirical Literature
1.3.2 Seaport Demand Analysis and Forecasting Empirical Studies
1.3.3 Conclusion
1.3.4 Research Outline
2 Theoretical Framework
2.1 Introductions to different theories for seaport performance analysis
2.2 Port development Theories
3 SWOT Analysis for the Sea container transportation of Big Port of Saint-Petersburg
3.1 Introduction
3.1.1 Review and History
3.1.2 Infrastructure, Equipments, and operations of the port
3.1.3 Existing Port Development Strategy
3.1.4 Container Terminals
3.2 Probable strengths and weaknesses for the internal environment of St.Petersburg seaport
3.2.1 Infrastructure
3.2.2 Gross Regional product
3.3 Probable opportunities and threats for the External environment of St.Petersburg seaport
3.3.1 World Economy
3.3.2 Political and Environmental condition
3.4 Conclusion
4 Forecast of sea container throughput of Big Port of Saint Petersburg in Russia
4.1 Variables Selection and Data Collection
4.2 Econometric Model
4.3 Dynamic Demand Analysis for St. Petersburg seaport
4.3.1 Pre-Estimation specifications
4.3.2 "VAR" Estimation Procedure
4.3.3 Post-Estimation Specifications
4.3.4 Elasticities Estimation
4.4 Forecasting Procedure
4.4.1 Forecasting Analysis
5 A proposed Horizontal development strategy
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Horizontal development goals
5.3 Strategic Focus
6 Results and Conclusions
References
致謝
作者簡(jiǎn)歷及攻讀碩士學(xué)位期間的科研成果
【參考文獻(xiàn)】：
期刊論文
[1]基于徑向基神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)的集裝箱吞吐量組合預(yù)測(cè)[J]. 劉志杰,季令,葉玉玲,耿志民. 同濟(jì)大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào)(自然科學(xué)版). 2007(06)
本文編號(hào)：2909165
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